Showing posts with label evolution. Show all posts
Showing posts with label evolution. Show all posts

Monday, February 16, 2009

Evolution in a Nutshell

Sorry I haven't been writing much lately.  My personal life has been evolving.  More on that later.  But I would be remiss if I didn't have some kind of post for Charles Darwin's 200th birthday, which was on February 12th, 2009.  To celebrate, let me give you evolution in a nutshell.  I want to take a slightly different tack than most other treatments.  I want to argue that Darwin's central brilliant idea is so close to a tautology that it can't be wrong.


There are two things which determine whether a creature reproduces: the traits it was born with and the environment it lives in.  This is true even if you believe (which I don't) that a deity has an active hand in forming the creature, or in affecting its environment.  Now, given a bunch of creatures in that same environment, some will have inborn traits that make it more likely they will survive and reproduce, and some will have traits which make it less likely they will survive and reproduce.  For example, if there are a bunch of feral cats in Minnesota, those with heavy fur are more likely to survive than those with very light fur.  But if they are in Mexico, those with light fur are more likely to survive (all other things being equal).

Well, Darwin's central idea is Natural Selection by Survival of the Fittest.  Those creatures which are most suited to the given environment are the ones which are most likely survive.  It is almost tautological, because what else can "fittest" mean than "most likely to survive?"   And what does the "selection" entail other than "having survived"?  Nothing.  Darwin simply pointed out the obvious.  If you have a population of creatures, the ones best suited for the environment are the ones most likely to survive and reproduce.   And how can you tell which creature are the ones best suited for the environment?  Because they are the ones which survived!

So, then,  what's the big deal if it has to be true, almost by definition, that the "fittest" are "selected"?    The answer is that this simple mechanism, which as we have shown has to be true almost by definition, is enough to explain the evolution of life.  How did drug-resistant bacteria arise?  There were some bacteria in the huge population of bacteria which were resistant, and they took over in the patient because they were the fittest (they survived the drugs).  How did polar bears get such thick fur? Because their ancestors who had thinner fur did not survive as well.

Some people are fine with the above until one gets to major changes in species or complicated organs like a wing.  It would take me too long to delve into all possible considerations here, but the central answer is TIME.  Creatures have been roaming the Earth for a very long time, so even very slow change can have a dramatic effect.  Suppose each generation of creatures changes in some attribute by just 0.01%.  Then after 10,000 generations, they could have changed that attribute completely.  Even to take the human value for a generation, 20 years, that would take only 200,000 years.  That may sound  like a lot of time, but life has been on the planet for almost 4 billion years, which is 20,000 times 200,000 years.

So in summary, there has been a selection process going on for millions of generations of life, picking out creatures who are fittest for their environment. That process can explain the diversity of life we see now and in the past, and that is why, despite being essentially a tautology, Darwin's theory of evolution is the cornerstone of biology.  

Happy Birthday Darwin!

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Wednesday, January 30, 2008

Name Our Geological Age

Since the extinction of the dinosaurs 65 million years ago, the Earth has been in the 
Cenozoic Era (about 1/4 of a turn on the spiral figure).   This includes all of human history.  But humans are now having so much effect on the world, such as global warming, that geologists think the last century or so constitutes a new era for the Earth, which they call the Anthropocene.  With great power comes great responsibility, but unfortunately we have not shown a lot of the latter when it comes to the Earth.  If you don't like Anthropocene, Wired has a contest to name our geological age (thanks DG).   Most of the entries are silly or stupid.  It is currently a pitched battle between the serious "Anthropocene", and the cynical "Jackassic". 

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Thursday, January 24, 2008

Texas Master's Program in Creation Research

The Dallas-based Institute for Creation Research is trying to start a master's degree in "science education".  Here is an article from the Austin American-Statesman (thanks DG): Leading scientists oppose creation institute's degree plan.  (see contact info below to take action.)


"Creationism" and "Intelligent Design" are two different words for the same thing (with a bit more window-dressing in the second term).   Creationism is not evidence-based and not, like all good science, open to falsification.  It is a story written by people in a very different time, from within one of many religions the world has seen.  If you choose to believe it as fact, that is your choice, but it is not science and has no place in a science curriculum.  I have no objection to it being discussed in a comparative religion class, though. 

There are real consequences to confusing creationism with science.  For example, to deny the theory of evolution is to deny an understanding of how drug-resistant bacteria arise.  Or avian flu.  So if your physician tells you he is a creationist, I would find another doctor.

Action item:
Here is the contact info for Raymund Paredes (see story):
 
Higher Education Coordinating Board (Texas)
Raymund Paredes, Commissioner
Dr. Joseph Stafford, Assistant Commissioner for Academic Affairs and Research
Contact: Linda Battles
Academic Affairs and Research
P.O. Box 12788
Austin, TX 78711
Phone: (512) 427-6200
Fax: (512) 427-6168
Email: linda.battles@thecb.state.tx.us or cheryl.rosipal@thecb.state.tx.us
Website: http://www.thecb.state.tx.us/

[1/24/08 8pm]
Action item:
Also, the individual mentioned by David in the first Comment, Stephen Schafersman, is part of Texas Citizens for Science.  For some reason, the Wikipedia page for TCS is up for deletion, perhaps due to creationist forces?  If you have a Wikipedia login, please indicate that you do not want the page deleted (whichever side of the debate you are on). 

[Media Credit: Photo Illustration by Jane Pojawa
Every religion incorporates a myth of how the world was created. This illustration depicts the creation myths of Hindism, Navaho, Aztec, Egyptian, Christian, Aboriginal, Jewish and Islam.]

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Tuesday, January 22, 2008

Lawrence Krauss on Religion

Here is an interview with Lawrence Krauss about science and religion  from Point of Inquiry.  The interview is about half an hour long, so here's the main thing I got out of it.  Krauss argues that scientists should convey what they have learned studying nature, particularly in the area of biological evolution, but that, in the end, religious beliefs (or lack thereof) are outside science's purview.   Thus he is somewhat at odds with Richard Dawkins, at least in style.


My own view is complicated, but I promise I will eventually write some posts on it.  For now, let me say that I definitely agree with Krauss' criticism of Dawkins.   I also agree wholeheartedly with Lawrence's call for greater scientific literacy, which is one of the motivations for this blog.
[I should mention that I've met Krauss several times, and he is involved with Science Debate 2008, but I don't think any of that has colored my view of this issue.  Krauss gets involved in many things.  If you're reading this Larry, I just want to know, do you sleep?  :) ] 

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Saturday, December 29, 2007

Ron Paul Rejects The Theory of Evolution

 

US  Republican Presidential candidate Ron Paul says, "It's a theory, the theory of evolution, and I don't accept it".  Sigh.  I am going to delve into this subject a lot more later.  Let me make two quick points.

First, the word theory is used differently in different contexts.  When you think of "theory", you may think of the phrase, "it's just a theory", which makes a "theory" sound like a flippant thing.  But when a scientist says, "The theory of X",  or "So-and-so's theory of X",  they mean, "the theoretical framework which convincingly explains X and has withstood many attempts at falsification".  An example is "Newton's theory of gravity", which has been well tested in the regime to which it applies (for strong fields, one needs general relativity).  Darwin's Theory of Evolution is at least as well tested.
 
Second, to say, "I don't accept the theory of evolution" is equivalent to saying, "I don't accept the fundamental basis of our understanding of biology".   It would mean, for example, invoking divine intervention to explain how drug-resistant bacteria arise.

If you reject the fundamental basis for biology and therefore most of modern medicine, I think you are unfit to be a world leader.  So, I hope at least some of Ron Paul's many net supporters condemn his stance on the The Theory of Evolution.

[If you are picky about grammar, see my note about punctuation and quotation marks here.]
[I got this video here.]

[confidence level: established, my qualifications: informed]

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